Leveraged S&P 500 exposure, without the daily decision

Holding SPXL means deciding, every single trading day, whether the leverage stays on. We make that decision for you.

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Portfolio mix
Conditions look good
VOO
50%
SPXL
45%
Cash
5%
SPXS
0%
The VOO core never moves. Only the leveraged slice, the cash and the hedge change.

Illustrative only. Not actual or recommended allocations.

The real problem

Buying it is easy. Holding it is the hard part.

Every article tells you not to hold SPXL. Almost none of them tell you what to do instead. Here is what actually gets in the way.

01

The timing problem

You know roughly when the leverage should come off. Knowing it and acting on the exact day are not the same thing. Most people are a week late.

02

The screen problem

A leveraged position needs a decision every single trading day. You have a job. The day it matters is always a workday.

03

The nerve problem

Last time it dropped, you held all the way down. Then you told yourself next time would be different. It usually is not.

04

The all-or-nothing problem

On your own, the choice is all in or all out. There is no dial in between, so you end up doing nothing and hoping.

None of these are knowledge problems. They are execution problems.
That is the part we automate.

How it works

A plain S&P 500 core, with leverage layered on top.

We hold an unleveraged S&P 500 ETF the whole time. The leveraged part is what moves. Every trading day, the system checks conditions and sets the mix.

When things look good

Leverage on

Core
50%
Leveraged
45%
Cash
5%
Hedge
0%
When things start to turn

Leverage comes off

Core
50%
Leveraged
10%
Cash
40%
Hedge
0%
When it is clearly falling

Hedge goes on

Core
50%
Leveraged
0%
Cash
20%
Hedge
30%

The core never moves. Only the leveraged slice, the cash and the hedge change. So you are never out of the S&P 500, and you are never sitting in a full leveraged position through a long drawdown.

Core

VOO

An unleveraged S&P 500 index ETF. Held in every state, never sold as part of the strategy.

Leveraged sleeve

SPXL

Three times the daily move of the S&P 500. Added only when conditions support it.

Hedge

SPXS

Inverse S&P 500 exposure. Applied only in a sustained downtrend, never alongside the leveraged sleeve.

Checked every day

The market gets read every trading day, whether you are watching or not.

Rules, not feelings

The system does not panic, and it does not get greedy near a high.

A dial, not a switch

Exposure moves up and down in steps instead of all in or all out.

Cash counts

When nothing looks good, sitting in cash is a decision the system makes.

Allocations shown are illustrative examples of how exposure can shift, not actual or recommended allocations. Actual positioning varies with market conditions. All investing involves risk, including the potential loss of principal.

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Suitability

Be honest with yourself.

This is for you if:

You set aside a specific slice of your money for higher-risk bets, with the rest in a Core model portfolio

You have lived through a big drop before and did not sell at the bottom

You understand a leveraged ETF can lose value even when the index goes nowhere

This is money you could lose without it changing your life

This is not for you if:

You want steady and predictable

You will need this money in the next few years

A large drop would make you sell

This is money you cannot afford to lose

faq

Questions people ask before they start

Three things. VOO, an unleveraged S&P 500 index ETF, is the core and stays in place at all times. SPXL is the leveraged sleeve, tracking three times the daily move of the S&P 500. SPXS is the inverse fund used as a hedge. Anything not allocated sits in cash. You can see the exact holdings in your account at any time.

None of them are held by this strategy, but they come up often, so here is how they compare. SPY and IVV track the same S&P 500 index as VOO and are close substitutes for an unleveraged core. UPRO is ProShares' version of SPXL, seeking the same three times daily exposure to the S&P 500. SPXU is ProShares' version of SPXS on the inverse side. SSO seeks two times daily exposure rather than three, so it moves less in both directions. This strategy uses VOO for the core and the Direxion pair, SPXL and SPXS, for the leveraged and hedge sleeves.

You can. The thing to understand is that a leveraged fund resets daily, so a flat or choppy stretch can drag it down even when the S&P 500 ends up roughly where it started. Those stretches tend to last long enough that holding through them is harder than it looks on a chart.

No. That approach pairs a leveraged S&P 500 position with leveraged long-term treasuries and rebalances on a schedule. It relies on those two holdings moving in opposite directions, which does not always happen. This strategy holds a plain index core instead, and changes the leveraged exposure based on market conditions rather than on the calendar.

Four things matter most with leveraged funds. Compounding, because daily resets mean returns over time can differ a lot from three times the index. Correlation, because the fund may not track the S&P 500 as closely as you expect. Derivatives, because these funds use swaps and similar instruments to get their exposure. And holding duration, because the longer you hold, the more the first three can add up. None of these go away because the position is managed. The goal is to spend less time exposed to them, not to remove them.

A lot. A three times leveraged S&P 500 fund moves roughly three times as far as the index on a given day, and compounding can make a long decline worse than that. The strategy is designed to reduce exposure and can hedge, but it cannot prevent losses. Only use money you can afford to lose entirely.

No. It is built as a slice. Most people pair it with a Core model portfolio holding the bulk of their money and keep this as the smaller, higher-risk piece. You choose the size.

0.50% per year on assets under management, or $4 a month for accounts under $10,000. The minimum to start is $1,000. Your account is held at Alpaca Securities LLC, a registered broker-dealer and member of FINRA and SIPC. alphaAI Capital never holds your money directly.

Yes, any time. There is no lock-in and no performance fee. You can change how much is allocated, switch strategies, or withdraw.

Leveraged S&P 500 exposure, managed daily.

$1,000 to start. 0.50% per year. No lock-in, no performance fees.